La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-05-11 23:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 5–8 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 52.94%1.89momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.540%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%52.95%52.88%54.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.57%55.56%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 47.06%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.224%
Ventaja -0.106%
Kelly -0.200%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.60%47.05%47.12%48.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.10%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:00
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:04
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 21:34
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-11 22:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:48
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 21:39
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 21:39
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 21:39
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.224%E -0.106%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-11 17:00
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 22:49
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:49
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:09
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 21:29
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-11 23:04
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 22:49
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.19%E -2.31%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.46%E -2.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 22:18
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 14:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:49
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:09
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:49
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:19
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:09
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 22:09
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 22:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 21:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 23:04
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 22:45
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:50
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:50
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:44
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 22:49
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 23:04
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.28%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 22:55
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 23:04
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 23:04
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 23:04
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 23:04
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 23:04
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:09
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 22:44
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 22:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-05-11 22:49
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%0.1%2026-05-11 23:05
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-11 22:59
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-11 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-11 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-11 22:59
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-11 22:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-05-11 22:59