L’École des cotes

Toronto Blue Jays v Tampa Bay Rays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 23:08 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 5–8 Tampa Bay Rays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 52.94%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.540%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%52.95%52.88%54.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.57%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.06%2.12cote équitable
EV -0.224%
Avantage -0.106%
Kelly -0.200%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.60%47.05%47.12%48.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.10%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:00
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 23:04
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-11 21:34
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.01%E -0.540%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-11 22:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-11 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 22:48
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 21:39
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 21:39
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 21:39
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.224%E -0.106%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-11 17:00
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-11 22:49
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 22:49
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:09
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 21:29
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-11 23:04
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 22:49
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.19%E -2.31%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.46%E -2.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 22:18
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 14:10
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 22:49
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:09
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:49
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:19
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 22:09
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 22:09
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 22:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 21:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 23:04
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 22:45
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:50
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:50
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 22:44
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 22:49
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 10:34
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 23:04
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.30%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.28%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 22:55
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 23:04
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 23:04
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.17%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.83%E -3.88%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 23:04
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 23:04
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 23:04
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.58%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 23:04
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:09
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 22:44
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 22:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-05-11 22:49
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%0.1%2026-05-11 23:05
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-11 22:59
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-11 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-11 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-11 22:59
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-11 22:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-05-11 22:59