The School of Odds
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Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners

2026-08-28 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 61.99%1.61fair odd
EV +3.53%
Edge +2.11%
Kelly +5.26%
Growth +0.186%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%61.99%62.00%62.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.541.6767.11%64.85%64.94%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 38.01%2.63fair odd
EV +0.342%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.02%38.01%38.00%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.502.502.6445.45%39.99%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 61.99%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 38.01%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.67, producing a positive expected value of +3.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +3.53%E +2.11%K +5.26%G +0.186%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -16.38%E -7.45%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 12:24
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV +0.427%E +0.263%K +0.688%G +0.003%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-28 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.43%E -0.901%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -1.18%E -0.453%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-28 12:09
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%EV -0.038%E -0.015%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-28 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV +0.342%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%2.0%2026-08-28 13:05
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.418%E -0.160%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 12:40
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 12:40
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 12:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.46%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 12:44
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:15
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:15
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:15
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:15
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:14
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 11:15
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:05
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:01
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.418%E -0.160%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 13:05
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 12:35
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 12:40
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 13:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 12:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:23
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.18%E -0.453%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 13:04
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.46%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 13:05
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 11:15
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 11:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 13:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 13:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 13:04
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.32%E -0.902%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 13:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 11:15
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -6.39%E -4.23%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.39%E -4.23%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.01%E -4.67%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:20
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.67%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 13:05
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.67%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.63%E -5.12%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 11:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-08-28 12:20
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-08-28 13:05
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-28 13:05
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-28 11:50
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-08-28 13:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-08-28 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%3.0%2026-08-28 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%3.0%2026-08-28 12:50
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%3.1%2026-08-28 13:05
Arbitrage (46 combinations) +2.29%Dabble (AU) 1.67 (61.3%) / FanDuel 2.64 (38.7%)Show all 46 combinations
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)Seattle Mariners (Visit)Margin
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (61.3%)FanDuel🎯 2.64 (38.7%)+2.29%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (61.2%)DraftKings🎯 2.63 (38.8%)+2.14%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (61.1%)Caesars🎯 2.62 (38.9%)+1.99%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (61.1%)BetUS🎯 2.62 (38.9%)+1.99%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.9%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 2.60 (39.1%)+1.69%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 2.60 (39.1%)+1.69%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.6%)Bovada🎯 2.57 (39.4%)+1.22%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.5%)SportsBet🎯 2.56 (39.5%)+1.07%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.4%)theScore Bet🎯 2.55 (39.6%)+0.912%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.4%)Paddy Power🎯 2.55 (39.6%)+0.912%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.3%)MyBookie.ag🎯 2.54 (39.7%)+0.755%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.3%)BetMGM🎯 2.54 (39.7%)+0.755%
1xBet🎯 1.62 (62.0%)FanDuel🎯 2.64 (38.0%)+0.394%
1xBet🎯 1.62 (61.9%)DraftKings🎯 2.63 (38.1%)+0.249%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Fanatics🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betway🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)TAB🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BetRivers🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Bally Bet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)ReBet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Bet Right🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Coolbet🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)William Hill🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)888sport🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Coral🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Winamax (DE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Tipico (DE)🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)Bet Victor🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)betano_uk🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
1xBet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)Caesars🎯 2.62 (38.2%)+0.104%
1xBet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)BetUS🎯 2.62 (38.2%)+0.104%