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Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 57.22%1.75fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%57.34%57.25%59.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.671.671.7364.10%60.03%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 42.78%2.34fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 2.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.40%42.66%42.75%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3946.51%44.47%44.44%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 57.22%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 42.78%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV +2.26%E +0.944%K +1.62%G +0.037% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 17:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 19:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.02%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.59%E -0.924%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.88%E -4.90%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.88%E -4.90%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.02%E -0.588%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-28 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-28 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-28 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 21:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-28 21:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 20:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 20:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 19:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.74%E -6.89%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 23:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 23:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.45%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-28 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.46%E -5.28%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 20:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.74%E -4.13%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75% | 0.4% | 2026-08-28 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 23:16 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.9% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 19:25 |