Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-08-28 23:16 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 8–1 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 57.22%1.75odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.588%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.14%57.34%57.25%59.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.671.671.7364.10%60.03%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 42.78%2.34odd justa
EV +2.26%
Vantagem +0.944%
Kelly +1.62%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.40%42.66%42.75%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.252.252.3946.51%44.47%44.44%41.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 57.22%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 42.78%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.39, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.26%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV +2.26%E +0.944%K +1.62%G +0.037%3.6%2026-08-28 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 17:25
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 19:44
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.02%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-28 22:55
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.59%E -0.924%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-28 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.88%E -4.90%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.88%E -4.90%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 23:10
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.02%E -0.588%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-28 19:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-28 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-28 19:45
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-28 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-28 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 19:30
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 20:20
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 23:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 20:19
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 20:18
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 19:45
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 19:44
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.74%E -6.89%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 22:50
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:14
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.45%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 22:45
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 19:30
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 19:30
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 19:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 20:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.46%E -5.28%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.74%E -4.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 22:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-28 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-28 22:25
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-28 23:15
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-28 23:16
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-28 19:45
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-28 22:45
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-08-28 22:55
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-08-28 19:25