Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Toronto Blue Jays v Seattle Mariners

Początek: 2026-08-28 23:16 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Toronto Blue Jays 8–1 Seattle Mariners

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Toronto Blue Jays (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 57.22%1.75kurs godziwy
EV -1.02%
Przewaga -0.588%
Kelly -1.39%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.14%57.34%57.25%59.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.561.671.671.7364.10%60.03%59.88%57.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Seattle Mariners (Goście)

Prognoza 42.78%2.34kurs godziwy
EV +2.26%
Przewaga +0.944%
Kelly +1.62%
Wzrost +0.037%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.39

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.40%42.66%42.75%43.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.252.252.3946.51%44.47%44.44%41.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Toronto Blue Jays (Gospodarze): 57.22%; Seattle Mariners (Goście): 42.78%. Dla wyniku Seattle Mariners (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.34. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.39, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.26%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV +2.26%E +0.944%K +1.62%G +0.037%3.6%2026-08-28 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 17:25
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 19:44
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.60%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.02%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-28 22:55
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.59%E -0.924%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-28 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.88%E -4.90%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.88%E -4.90%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 23:10
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.02%E -0.588%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-28 19:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-28 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-28 19:45
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-28 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-28 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 19:30
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 20:20
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 23:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 20:19
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 20:18
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 19:45
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 19:44
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.74%E -6.89%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 22:50
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:14
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.45%E -2.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 22:45
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 19:30
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 19:30
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 19:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 20:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.46%E -5.28%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.74%E -4.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 22:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-28 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-28 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-28 22:25
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-28 23:15
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-28 23:16
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-28 19:45
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-28 22:45
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-08-28 22:55
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-08-28 19:25