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Toronto Blue Jays v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 38.21%2.62fair odd
EV +0.103%
Edge +0.039%
Kelly +0.064%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.11%38.31%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.502.502.6242.02%39.97%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 61.79%1.62fair odd
EV -0.514%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.842%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.89%61.69%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.72%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 38.21%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 61.79%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.617. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.620, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.103%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV +0.103%E +0.039%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -0.279%E -0.107%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.661%E -0.254%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.81%E -0.703%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-08 22:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.19%E -0.855%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -2.19%E -0.855%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.69%E -4.43%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.31%E -4.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.31%E -4.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.95%E -1.16%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.34%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-08 22:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.34%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -4.10%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.514%E -0.319%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-08 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-08 20:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.86%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 20:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.63%E -2.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-08 22:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.08%E -4.00%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.08%E -4.00%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.69%E -4.43%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.31%E -4.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-08 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-08 20:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.61I 38.31%NM 38.30% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.70% | 0.0% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-08 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-06-08 17:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-06-08 18:19 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50% | 2.3% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.4% | 2026-06-08 22:49 |