La escuela de los momios

Toronto Blue Jays v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-06-08 23:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 2–5 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 38.21%2.62momio equitativo
EV +0.103%
Ventaja +0.039%
Kelly +0.064%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.11%38.31%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.502.502.6242.02%39.97%40.00%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 61.79%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.514%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.842%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%61.89%61.69%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.72%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV +0.103%E +0.039%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -0.279%E -0.107%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:49
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.661%E -0.254%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-08 22:49
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-08 22:49
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-08 22:49
Caesars2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:59
Everygame2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.81%E -0.703%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:48
BetAnything2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.19%E -0.855%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-08 22:49
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -2.19%E -0.855%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-08 22:59
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-08 22:49
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 22:58
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:49
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.69%E -4.43%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:49
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.31%E -4.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:49
Dabble (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.31%E -4.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:59
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.95%E -1.16%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 22:49
MyBookie.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.34%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 22:48
DraftKings2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.34%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-08 22:49
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -4.10%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.514%E -0.319%K -0.842%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:39
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:49
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-08 22:49
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-08 20:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:49
SportsBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.86%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 22:49
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 20:39
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 20:40
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:59
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:59
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.63%E -2.28%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-08 13:39
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:58
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:49
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:49
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.08%E -4.00%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 22:49
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.08%E -4.00%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 22:49
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.69%E -4.43%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:49
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.31%E -4.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-08 22:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-08 14:39
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 20:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.61I 38.31%NM 38.30%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.70%0.0%2026-06-08 22:49
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-08 22:59
ProphetX2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-08 22:59
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-06-08 17:29
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-06-08 18:19
BetOpenly2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-06-08 22:49