L’École des cotes

Toronto Blue Jays v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-08 23:08 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 2–5 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 38.21%2.62cote équitable
EV +0.103%
Avantage +0.039%
Kelly +0.064%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.11%38.31%39.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.502.502.6242.02%39.97%40.00%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.79%1.62cote équitable
EV -0.514%
Avantage -0.319%
Kelly -0.842%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%61.89%61.69%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.72%64.52%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV +0.103%E +0.039%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-08 22:59
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -0.279%E -0.107%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:49
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.661%E -0.254%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-08 22:49
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-08 22:49
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-08 22:49
Caesars2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.43%E -0.552%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:59
Everygame2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.81%E -0.703%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-08 22:48
BetAnything2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.19%E -0.855%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-08 22:49
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -2.19%E -0.855%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:59
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-08 22:59
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-08 22:49
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 22:58
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 22:49
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.69%E -4.43%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:49
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.31%E -4.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:49
Dabble (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.57%E -1.01%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.31%E -4.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:59
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.95%E -1.16%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 22:49
MyBookie.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.34%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 22:48
DraftKings2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.34%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-08 22:49
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -4.10%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.514%E -0.319%K -0.842%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-08 22:39
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:49
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:59
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-08 22:49
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-08 20:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 22:49
SportsBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.86%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 22:49
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:59
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 20:39
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 20:40
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:59
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:59
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.84%E -3.14%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:59
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.63%E -2.28%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-08 13:39
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.22%E -2.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:58
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:49
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:49
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.08%E -4.00%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 22:49
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.08%E -4.00%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 22:49
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.16%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.60%E -2.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.69%E -4.43%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:49
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.31%E -4.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-08 22:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.99%E -1.90%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-08 14:39
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.46%E -3.57%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 20:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.61I 38.31%NM 38.30%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.70%0.0%2026-06-08 22:49
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-08 22:59
ProphetX2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-08 22:59
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-06-08 17:29
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-06-08 18:19
BetOpenly2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-06-08 22:49