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Toronto Blue Jays v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 58.91%1.70fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.54%58.92%58.96%61.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.621.6866.67%61.99%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 41.09%2.43fair odd
EV -0.159%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.111%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.96%41.08%41.04%42.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.352.352.4344.84%42.61%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 58.91%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 41.09%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.434. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.430, with an expected value of -0.159%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.03%E -0.611%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.62%E -0.967%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-26 14:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.62%E -0.967%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-26 17:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.62%E -0.967%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 21:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -3.03%E -1.29%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.569%E -0.235%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-26 20:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -0.980%E -0.407%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -0.980%E -0.407%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-26 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.80%E -0.754%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.80%E -0.754%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-26 17:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -5.09%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 21:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 14:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.79%E -1.69%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-26 14:07 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-26 23:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 21:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.38%E -2.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-26 14:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 20:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 19:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.09%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 20:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-26 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -1.80%E -0.754%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-26 19:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.09%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-26 21:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-26 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 19:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 22:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 20:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -8.38%E -3.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-26 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.159%E -0.065%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -9.27%E -6.02%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -9.27%E -6.02%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-26 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 17:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 20:44 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-26 22:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-08-26 23:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69% | 2.1% | 2026-08-26 22:49 |