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Toronto Blue Jays v Kansas City Royals

2026-08-26 23:08 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 54.30%1.84fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.65%54.37%54.29%55.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.751.7960.24%57.14%57.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 45.70%2.19fair odd
EV +0.542%
Edge +0.246%
Kelly +0.452%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.58%45.63%45.71%46.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.082.082.2050.51%48.13%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 54.30%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 45.70%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.20, producing a positive expected value of +0.542%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.542%E +0.246%K +0.452%G +0.002%2.0%2026-08-25 22:29
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.80%E -1.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.829%E -0.382%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 20:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.74%E -0.811%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 18:18
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 20:09
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.98%E -2.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.57%E -1.69%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:24
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 23:14
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 02:21
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 18:18
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.61%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:18
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.94%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.94%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.94%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.94%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:33
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:34
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.40%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.40%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.40%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.86%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.86%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.86%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.86%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.86%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.86%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.98%E -2.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 01:54
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:34
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 02:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.98%E -2.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.98%E -2.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.23%E -4.87%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-25 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -9.86%E -5.94%K -14.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -9.51%E -4.80%K -9.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-08-26 02:24
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-25 20:09
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-08-26 02:09
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%3.7%2026-08-26 01:39
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%10.0%2026-08-25 18:35
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%10.9%2026-08-25 23:24