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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Toronto Blue Jays v Kansas City Royals

2026-08-26 23:08 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 54.67%1.83momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.65%54.64%54.76%55.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.751.751.7959.52%57.14%57.14%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 45.33%2.21momio equitativo
EV -0.270%
Ventaja -0.123%
Kelly -0.225%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.58%45.36%45.24%46.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.2050.00%47.89%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 54.67%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 45.33%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.21. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.20, con un valor esperado de -0.270%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.63%E -0.751%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.270%E -0.123%K -0.225%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 22:29
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.270%E -0.123%K -0.225%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 02:38
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 02:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:24
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 02:39
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.90%E -1.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 20:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -2.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -2.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:45
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.35%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 03:08
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 02:39
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 03:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 01:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.52%E -3.69%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.52%E -3.69%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 18:18
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.44%E -1.62%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 02:39
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 02:39
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 02:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.90%E -1.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 02:38
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 18:18
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 02:38
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 02:38
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:18
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 02:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.26%E -2.52%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 02:44
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 02:59
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 02:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 02:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-26 03:09
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-25 20:09
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-26 02:39
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%3.7%2026-08-26 01:39
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-08-26 02:44
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%10.9%2026-08-25 23:24