L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Toronto Blue Jays v Kansas City Royals

2026-08-26 23:08 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 54.67%1.83cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.65%54.64%54.76%55.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.751.751.7959.52%57.14%57.14%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.33%2.21cote équitable
EV -0.270%
Avantage -0.123%
Kelly -0.225%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.58%45.36%45.24%46.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.102.2050.00%47.89%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Toronto Blue Jays (Local) : 54.67% ; Kansas City Royals (Visiteur) : 45.33%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.21. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.20, pour une espérance de -0.270% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.63%E -0.751%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.62%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.270%E -0.123%K -0.225%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 22:29
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.270%E -0.123%K -0.225%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 02:38
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 02:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 20:24
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 02:39
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.90%E -1.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 20:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -2.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -2.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:45
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.35%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 03:08
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 02:39
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.71%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 03:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 01:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.52%E -3.69%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.52%E -3.69%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 18:18
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.44%E -1.62%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 02:39
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 02:39
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 02:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.90%E -1.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 02:38
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 18:18
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 02:38
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:09
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 02:38
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 18:18
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 02:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.26%E -2.52%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 02:44
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 02:59
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 02:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 02:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-26 03:09
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-25 20:09
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-26 02:39
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%3.7%2026-08-26 01:39
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-08-26 02:44
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%10.9%2026-08-25 23:24