The School of Odds

Toronto Blue Jays v Chicago White Sox

2026-07-18 19:08 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 48.76%2.05fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.73%48.68%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.952.0254%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 51.24%1.95fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.27%51.32%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.851.9157%54%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.51%E -0.746%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 17:54
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.51%E -0.746%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.16%E -1.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 17:54
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.99%E -0.992%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.13%E -1.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 18:09
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.48%E -1.24%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.77%E -4.31%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 18:14
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.46%E -1.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 18:09
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.46%E -1.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.69%E -2.52%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 20:14
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.46%E -1.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 18:59
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.43%E -2.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.69%E -2.52%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 18:09
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.43%E -2.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 18:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 17:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 18:09
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 18:09
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 18:04
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 19:14
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 20:14
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 18:04
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.92%E -2.52%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.23%E -3.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 19:09
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.41%E -2.79%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.72%E -3.11%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 18:04
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.41%E -2.79%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.72%E -3.11%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 18:04
betano_uk1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.89%E -3.05%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.23%E -3.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 18:10
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.89%E -3.05%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.23%E -3.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 18:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.87%E -3.60%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.18%E -2.24%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 20:05
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.87%E -3.60%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 17:44
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.87%E -3.60%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 17:44
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.87%E -3.60%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 17:44
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.36%E -3.87%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.39%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -8.33%E -4.43%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -8.28%E -4.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 19:09
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.31%E -5.00%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.82%E -5.58%K -12.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-17 19:59
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-17 19:14
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-07-17 19:59
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%10.0%2026-07-17 18:04