L’École des cotes

Toronto Blue Jays v Chicago White Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 19:18 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 1–0 Chicago White Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 50.30%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.982%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.41%50.27%50.39%51.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.911.911.9554.05%52.48%52.36%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.70%2.01cote équitable
EV -0.601%
Avantage -0.300%
Kelly -0.601%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.83%49.73%49.61%51.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.911.902.0054.64%52.45%52.63%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.982%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:35
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.91%E -0.982%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:35
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 19:05
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -0.601%E -0.300%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 19:08
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.10%E -0.552%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 18:50
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.59%E -0.806%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.59%E -0.806%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 19:10
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.59%E -0.806%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 18:30
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.09%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.06%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 14:05
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 14:58
DraftKings1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.42%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:10
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 04:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 14:05
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 19:10
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 17:45
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 15:15
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:45
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:44
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:10
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:05
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 14:30
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.09%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 19:08
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:10
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 15:25
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:50
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:08
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:05
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 19:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 16:40
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 19:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.44%E -3.46%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 19:00
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 18:55
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 19:07
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 18:54
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 19:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-18 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-18 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-18 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-18 19:15
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-18 14:20
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-18 19:05
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-07-18 19:05
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-18 19:15
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%2.8%2026-07-18 19:15
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%5.1%2026-07-18 19:15