Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-07-18 19:18 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 1–0 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 50.30%1.99odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -0.982%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%50.27%50.39%51.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.911.9554.05%52.48%52.36%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 49.70%2.01odd justa
EV -0.601%
Vantagem -0.300%
Kelly -0.601%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.83%49.73%49.61%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.902.0054.64%52.45%52.63%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 50.30%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 49.70%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.00, com valor esperado de -0.601%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.982%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:35
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.91%E -0.982%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:35
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -0.601%E -0.300%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-18 19:08
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.10%E -0.552%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.59%E -0.806%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.59%E -0.806%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 19:10
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.59%E -0.806%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 18:30
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.09%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.06%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 14:05
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 14:58
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.42%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 18:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 04:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 15:15
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:45
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:44
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:10
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.61%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.09%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 19:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 18:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 19:05
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 16:40
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.44%E -3.46%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 19:00
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 18:55
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 19:07
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.94%E -3.75%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 19:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-18 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-18 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-18 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-18 19:15
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-18 14:20
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-18 19:05
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-07-18 19:05
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-18 19:15
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%2.8%2026-07-18 19:15
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%5.1%2026-07-18 19:15