Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles

2026-09-13 17:38 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 57.98%1.72fair odd
EV -0.852%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.22%58.03%57.97%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.651.7162.50%60.92%60.79%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 42.02%2.38fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.525%
Kelly +0.898%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.45%41.97%42.03%42.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.272.4146.51%43.74%43.96%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 57.98%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 42.02%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.41, producing a positive expected value of +1.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +1.27%E +0.525%K +0.898%G +0.011%2.1%2026-09-13 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.425%E +0.178%K +0.306%G +0.001%2.4%2026-09-13 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.425%E +0.178%K +0.306%G +0.001%2.4%2026-09-13 00:50
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.415%E -0.175%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 00:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.415%E -0.175%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.26%E -0.534%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.26%E -0.534%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.49%E -3.37%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.68%E -0.716%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:55
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -1.68%E -0.716%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 23:45
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 22:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.36%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:55
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.852%E -0.499%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.78%E -1.65%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:45
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.91%E -2.99%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.91%E -2.99%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 23:40
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 22:53
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:15
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 23:25
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:15
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -2.99%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -2.99%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 20:15
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -2.99%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -2.99%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -2.99%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 23:45
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 23:45
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 23:49
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 23:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.49%E -3.37%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:51
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 18:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-13 01:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-12 20:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-09-13 00:20
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-09-13 01:25
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-09-13 00:50
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%10.0%2026-09-12 23:50
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.03%1xBet 1.71 (58.5%) / GTbets 2.41 (41.5%)Show details
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)Baltimore Orioles (Visit)Margin
1xBet🎯 1.71 (58.5%)GTbets🎯 2.41 (41.5%)+0.027%