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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-09-13 17:38 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 8–1 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 57.60%1.74odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.879%
Kelly -2.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.70%57.64%57.69%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.671.7162.50%60.14%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 42.40%2.36odd justa
EV +0.062%
Vantagem +0.026%
Kelly +0.046%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.36%42.31%43.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.242.252.3646.73%44.57%44.44%42.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 57.60%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 42.40%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.359. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.360, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.062%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.062%E +0.026%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.786%E -0.336%K -0.586%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.786%E -0.336%K -0.586%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 17:35
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.21%E -0.519%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 17:34
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -1.63%E -0.704%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 17:30
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.06%E -0.891%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-13 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.48%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:05
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.48%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.48%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.48%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.48%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.48%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 17:20
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.48%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 05:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.48%E -1.08%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 09:45
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.50%E -0.879%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.91%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.75%E -1.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 15:40
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.75%E -1.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -3.75%E -1.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.75%E -1.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.18%E -1.85%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 15:29
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.18%E -1.85%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:30
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 05:09
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 14:18
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 05:10
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:25
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:15
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.84%E -4.90%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.45%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.45%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.45%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.45%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.87%E -2.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 05:09
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.87%E -2.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.87%E -2.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:35
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:50
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.23%E -1.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:35
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.81%E -2.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 15:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.38%E -2.64%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:25
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:24
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.53%E -3.37%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.72%E -3.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.99%E -3.68%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -4.96%E -3.01%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.99%E -3.68%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.42%E -3.90%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:09
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -6.69%E -4.13%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -9.27%E -4.33%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-09-13 17:35
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-09-13 17:15
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-09-13 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-09-13 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-09-13 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-09-13 17:20
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-09-13 17:35
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-12 20:15
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-09-13 17:01
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-09-13 17:20