Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Baltimore Orioles

2026-09-13 17:38 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

58%

42%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 57.96%1.73momio equitativo

EV -0.895%

Ventaja -0.523%

Kelly -1.26%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

55.84%57.92%57.93%59.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.571.651.651.7163.69%60.78%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 42.04%2.38momio equitativo

EV +1.33%

Ventaja +0.550%

Kelly +0.940%

Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

40.64%42.08%42.07%44.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.152.272.272.4146.51%44.07%44.05%41.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 57.96%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 42.04%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.38. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.41, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.33%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
GTbets🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +1.33%E +0.550%K +0.940%G +0.012%	2.1%	2026-09-13 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.484%E +0.203%K +0.349%G +0.002%	2.4%	2026-09-13 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV +0.484%E +0.203%K +0.349%G +0.002%	2.4%	2026-09-13 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.20%E -0.509%K -0.887%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-13 01:25
Pinnacle🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.04%E -0.875%K -1.53%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-13 02:25
FanDuel🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.46%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 01:40
Bovada🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.53%E -3.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.46%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-13 01:40
BetUS🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-09-13 01:35
BetAnything🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-09-13 01:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-12 19:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-12 19:00
Fanatics🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 23:45
Caesars🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 01:55
BetRivers🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 01:55
William Hill🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 23:45
Paddy Power🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.12%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 18:55
1xBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -0.895%E -0.523%K -1.26%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.72%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-12 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.72%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-13 01:30
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 23:45
Bet Right🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-12 23:55
Casumo🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 01:55
Unibet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 01:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 01:55
betPARX🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 01:55
TABtouch🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.53%E -3.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.23%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-13 01:55
Coolbet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.56%E -2.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 23:40
SportsBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.69%E -4.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -4.56%E -2.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-13 01:40
TAB🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-12 22:53
Betway🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 20:15
betfred_uk🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 01:40
888sport🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 20:15
PlayUp🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 01:40
Coral🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 01:40
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 01:38
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 23:45
ReBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 23:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 23:45
betano_uk🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.69%E -4.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-12 23:49
Bet Victor🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.69%E -4.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-12 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.69%E -4.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-13 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.69%E -4.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-13 01:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.53%E -3.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 23:50
NordicBet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.66%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 18:51
Betsson🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.66%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 18:51
Marathon Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.66%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 20:25
Neds🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-13 02:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.69%E -4.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-12 23:45
Grosvenor🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.01%E -5.74%K -15.80%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-13 01:55
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.47%E -0.867%K -2.11%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 02:20
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.12%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-09-12 20:15

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Kalshi◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-09-13 01:05
Polymarket◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-09-12 20:15
ProphetX◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%	1.2%	2026-09-13 02:30
Novig◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%	1.7%	2026-09-13 00:20
Matchbook◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%	2.6%	2026-09-13 00:50
Smarkets◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%	2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%	10.0%	2026-09-12 23:50

Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.03%1xBet 1.71 (58.5%) / GTbets 2.41 (41.5%)Ver detalles

1xBet🎯 GTbets🎯

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)	Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)	Margen
1xBet🎯 1.71 (58.5%)	GTbets🎯 2.41 (41.5%)	+0.027%