Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 18:36 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 6–0 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prediction 58.63%1.71fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%58.39%58.67%60.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.31%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 41.37%2.42fair odd
EV +3.84%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%41.61%41.33%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.302.5146.51%43.31%43.48%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 58.63%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 41.37%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +3.84%E +1.53%K +2.54%G +0.098%2.0%2026-08-05 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV +1.36%E +0.555%K +0.938%G +0.013%1.4%2026-08-05 15:35
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.532%E +0.219%K +0.372%G +0.002%1.8%2026-08-05 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.118%E +0.049%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.295%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.295%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 15:14
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.50%E -0.895%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 18:30
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 15:50
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.823%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.823%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:39
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 18:35
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 18:29
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:40
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.61%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.61%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.02%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:34
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:15
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:15
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:15
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:15
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:00
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 16:10
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -5.26%E -2.30%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 18:34
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.09%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:29
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.09%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.50%E -0.895%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 18:35
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-05 18:35
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-05 18:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-05 18:00
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-05 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-05 18:25
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-08-05 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-05 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-05 18:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-05 18:30
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-08-05 18:35