Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v San Francisco Giants

2026-08-05 18:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Predicción 62.63%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.10%62.58%62.58%63.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.531.531.5767.57%65.57%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 37.37%2.68momio equitativo
EV -0.966%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -0.585%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.70%37.42%37.42%38.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.432.532.502.6541.15%39.57%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Texas Rangers (Local): 62.63%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 37.37%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.68. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.65, con un valor esperado de -0.966%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -1.67%E -1.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.966%E -0.364%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-05 02:29
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.67%E -1.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.46%E -0.943%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 00:55
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -1.67%E -1.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -6.95%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 01:49
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.30%E -1.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.44%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 01:35
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.93%E -1.89%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 00:35
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.93%E -1.89%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 00:35
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.93%E -1.89%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 00:35
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.93%E -1.89%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 00:35
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.55%E -2.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.55%E -2.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:34
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.55%E -2.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:34
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.55%E -2.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:35
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.55%E -2.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:35
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.55%E -2.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:35
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.55%E -2.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:05
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.55%E -2.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:05
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 21:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 21:05
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 21:14
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.21%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:09
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:45
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 02:39
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:25
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:35
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.58%E -1.39%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:04
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:10
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:40
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:35
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:34
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.43%E -3.60%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.43%E -3.60%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:04
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.43%E -3.60%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:04
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 20:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:04
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:04
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:04
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:03
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:04
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 01:55
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.68%E -4.49%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -3.96%E -1.54%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.68%E -4.49%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.44%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 00:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -6.68%E -4.49%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -9.19%E -3.78%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.31%E -4.94%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.44%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 21:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-05 02:35
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-05 02:10
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-05 01:50
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%3.4%2026-08-05 01:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%10.0%2026-08-04 21:05