Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-08-05 18:36 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 6–0 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Texas Rangers (Local)

Previsão 58.63%1.71odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.895%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%58.39%58.67%60.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.31%61.35%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 41.37%2.42odd justa
EV +3.84%
Vantagem +1.53%
Kelly +2.54%
Crescimento +0.098%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.08%41.61%41.33%43.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.312.302.5146.51%43.31%43.48%39.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Texas Rangers (Local): 58.63%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 41.37%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.42. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.51, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.84%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV +3.84%E +1.53%K +2.54%G +0.098%2.0%2026-08-05 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV +1.36%E +0.555%K +0.938%G +0.013%1.4%2026-08-05 15:35
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.532%E +0.219%K +0.372%G +0.002%1.8%2026-08-05 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.118%E +0.049%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.295%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.295%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 15:14
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.50%E -0.895%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-05 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 18:30
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 15:50
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.54%E -0.646%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.823%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.95%E -0.823%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:39
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 18:35
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 18:29
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:40
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.61%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.61%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.02%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:34
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:15
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:15
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:15
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 18:15
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:34
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:00
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.85%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 16:10
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -5.26%E -2.30%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 18:34
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.09%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:29
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.09%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.50%E -0.895%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 18:35
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-05 18:35
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-05 18:35
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-05 18:00
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-05 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-05 18:25
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-08-05 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-05 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-05 18:35
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-08-05 18:30
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-08-05 18:35