Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.18
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Rangers (Local): 46.06%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 53.94%. For Texas Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.414%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV +0.414%E +0.190%K +0.351%G +0.001% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -0.507%E -0.235%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -0.507%E -0.235%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.89%E -0.887%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.29%E -0.706%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.81%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.81%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.81%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 21:17 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.61%E -3.20%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 23:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.30%E -4.89%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 21:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.61%E -3.20%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.65%E -2.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.65%E -2.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:12 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.61%E -3.20%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 21:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.96%E -3.44%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -7.42%E -3.69%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.88%E -3.94%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.72%E -4.96%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.18%E -5.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 23:57 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23% | -0.1% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 21:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |