A Escola das Odds

Texas Rangers v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-05-09 00:06 UTC

Final: Texas Rangers 1–7 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Previsão 46.06%2.17odd justa
EV +0.414%
Vantagem +0.190%
Kelly +0.351%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%46.16%45.96%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.092.102.1851.28%47.76%47.62%45.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 53.94%1.85odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.706%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.84%54.04%55.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.84%56.82%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV +0.414%E +0.190%K +0.351%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 23:24
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -0.507%E -0.235%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -0.507%E -0.235%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 23:24
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:24
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:25
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:24
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:25
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:24
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:25
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:25
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:24
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:24
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:24
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.89%E -0.887%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 23:59
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.29%E -0.706%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-08 21:19
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 21:14
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 21:19
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 23:00
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.81%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 21:14
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.81%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 21:14
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.81%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 23:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 22:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:14
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:17
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:14
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 00:03
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.61%E -3.20%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:54
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:08
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 21:14
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 21:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.30%E -4.89%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:14
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 21:23
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 21:14
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 00:04
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 00:03
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.61%E -3.20%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:00
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 22:59
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.65%E -2.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:09
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.65%E -2.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:12
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:04
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.61%E -3.20%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 00:04
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 21:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 21:14
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.96%E -3.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 00:04
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -7.42%E -3.69%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.88%E -3.94%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.72%E -4.96%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.18%E -5.22%K -10.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 23:57
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-05-09 00:04
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-09 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-08 23:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-08 23:45
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%0.9%2026-05-09 00:04
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-08 21:20
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-08 21:19
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-05-09 00:04
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-05-09 00:04