L’École des cotes

Texas Rangers v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 00:06 UTC

Score final : Texas Rangers 1–7 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Texas Rangers (Local)

Prévision 46.06%2.17cote équitable
EV +0.414%
Avantage +0.190%
Kelly +0.351%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.16%45.96%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.102.1851.28%47.76%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.94%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.706%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.84%54.04%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.84%56.82%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV +0.414%E +0.190%K +0.351%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 23:24
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -0.507%E -0.235%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -0.507%E -0.235%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 23:24
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:24
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:25
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:24
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:25
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:24
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:25
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:25
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.968%E -0.450%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:24
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:24
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.43%E -0.667%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 23:24
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.89%E -0.887%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 23:59
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.29%E -0.706%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-08 21:19
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 21:14
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 21:19
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.35%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 23:00
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.81%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 21:14
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.81%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 21:14
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.81%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 23:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 22:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:14
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:17
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:14
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 00:03
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.61%E -3.20%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:54
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:08
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 21:14
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 21:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.30%E -4.89%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:14
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.73%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 21:23
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 21:14
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 00:04
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 00:03
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.61%E -3.20%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:00
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.15%E -3.53%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 22:59
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.65%E -2.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:09
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.65%E -2.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:12
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:04
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.07%E -2.88%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.61%E -3.20%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 00:04
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 21:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.69%E -3.86%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 21:14
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.96%E -3.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 00:04
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -7.42%E -3.69%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 00:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.88%E -3.94%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.72%E -4.96%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.18%E -5.22%K -10.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.91%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 23:57
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-05-09 00:04
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-08 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-09 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-08 23:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-08 23:45
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.12%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%0.9%2026-05-09 00:04
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-08 21:20
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-08 21:19
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-05-09 00:04
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-05-09 00:04