Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -0.792%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%53.38%53.25%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.791.8659.88%55.90%55.87%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.059%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%46.62%46.75%47.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.052.052.2051.02%48.78%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 53.34%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 46.66%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.66%E +1.21%K +2.21%G +0.059%5.3%2026-05-05 19:50
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.324%E +0.151%K +0.282%G +0.001%2.1%2026-05-05 22:15
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.54%E -0.731%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.957%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.01%E -0.957%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:15
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 22:25
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.792%E -0.426%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 22:38
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.792%E -0.426%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.792%E -0.426%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:35
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:30
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:35
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:25
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 22:25
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 21:43
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 22:39
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 22:24
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:20
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:20
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.54%E -4.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 53.47%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.53%-0.5%2026-05-05 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-05 22:30
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-05 22:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-05 22:40
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.7%2026-05-05 22:40
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 52.94%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.06%12.4%2026-05-05 22:40