Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-05-05 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

53%

47%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 53.34%1.87momio equitativo

EV -0.792%

Ventaja -0.426%

Kelly -0.921%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

52.11%53.38%53.25%56.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.671.791.791.8659.88%55.90%55.87%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 46.66%2.14momio equitativo

EV +2.66%

Ventaja +1.21%

Kelly +2.21%

Crecimiento +0.059%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

43.15%46.62%46.75%47.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.962.052.052.2051.02%48.78%48.78%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 53.34%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 46.66%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.14. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.66%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.66%E +1.21%K +2.21%G +0.059%	5.3%	2026-05-05 19:50
1xBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.324%E +0.151%K +0.282%G +0.001%	2.1%	2026-05-05 22:15
BetUS🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.54%E -0.731%K -1.39%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-05-05 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.957%K -1.83%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-05 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.01%E -0.957%K -1.83%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-05 22:40
Pinnacle🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-05-05 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-05-05 22:24
SportsBet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-05 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-05 22:15
Everygame🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-05 22:25
GTbets🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.792%E -0.426%K -0.921%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-05-05 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-05 22:38
Unibet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-05 22:25
Casumo🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-05 22:25
LeoVegas🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-05 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-05 22:25
Grosvenor🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-05 22:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-05 22:25
betPARX🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-05 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-05 22:25
Bet Right🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-05 22:40
FanDuel🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-05 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.792%E -0.426%K -0.921%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-05-05 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.792%E -0.426%K -0.921%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-05-05 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-05 22:35
ReBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-05 22:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-05 22:30
Caesars🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-05 22:35
TAB🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-05 22:20
TABtouch🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-05 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-05 22:25
BetRivers🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-05 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-05 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-05 22:25
888sport🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-05 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-05 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-05 22:25
Coolbet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-05 22:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-05 21:43
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-05 22:39
Bovada🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-05 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-05 22:39
NordicBet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-05 22:25
Betsson🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-05 22:24
Coral🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-05 22:20
BetMGM🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-05 22:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-05 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-05 22:20
Neds🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-05 22:20
Fliff🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-05 22:40
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-05 22:40
Fanatics🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-05 22:40
DraftKings🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.54%E -4.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-05 22:40

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
BetOpenly◎	1.88I 53.19%NM 53.47%	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.53%	-0.5%	2026-05-05 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%	2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%	0.4%	2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%	0.8%	2026-05-05 22:30
Smarkets◎	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%	0.9%	2026-05-05 22:40
Polymarket◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-05-05 22:20
Kalshi◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.0%	2026-05-05 22:40
ProphetX◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%	1.2%	2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%	1.4%	2026-05-05 22:40
Novig◎	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%	1.7%	2026-05-05 22:40
Matchbook◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 52.94%	1.89I 52.91%NM 47.06%	12.4%	2026-05-05 22:40