L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 22:41 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 53.34%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.792%
Avantage -0.426%
Kelly -0.921%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.11%53.38%53.25%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.791.8659.88%55.90%55.87%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.66%2.14cote équitable
EV +2.66%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +2.21%
Croissance +0.059%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%46.62%46.75%47.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.052.052.2051.02%48.78%48.78%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.93%E -6.54%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.66%E +1.21%K +2.21%G +0.059%5.3%2026-05-05 19:50
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.324%E +0.151%K +0.282%G +0.001%2.1%2026-05-05 22:15
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.54%E -0.731%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:35
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.01%E -0.957%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 22:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.01%E -0.957%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-05 22:35
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 22:24
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:15
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:15
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.33%E -0.717%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 22:25
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.792%E -0.426%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 22:38
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:40
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.792%E -0.426%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:35
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -0.792%E -0.426%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-05 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:35
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:20
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:30
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:35
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 22:20
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:25
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:25
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.06%E -2.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:39
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:25
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 22:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 22:25
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.81%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 21:43
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 22:39
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.46%E -1.91%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-05 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 22:39
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 22:25
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 22:24
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:20
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.39%E -1.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:20
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 22:20
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 22:40
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 22:40
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.13%E -3.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.93%E -1.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.99%E -2.22%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.54%E -4.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 53.47%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.53%-0.5%2026-05-05 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-05 22:30
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-05-05 22:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-05 22:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-05 22:40
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-05-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-05-05 22:40
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.7%2026-05-05 22:40
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 52.94%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.06%12.4%2026-05-05 22:40