The School of Odds

Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners

2026-07-12 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 54.25%1.84fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.31%54.26%55.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8259%57%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 45.75%2.19fair odd
EV -0.264%
Edge -0.121%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.69%45.74%46.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.1850%48%48%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.27%E -0.696%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 00:14
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.35%E -1.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.64%E -0.761%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 21:24
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.35%E -1.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.09%E -0.978%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 21:24
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.35%E -1.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 21:24
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.35%E -1.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.55%E -1.20%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 21:24
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.44%E -1.93%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 21:35
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.264%E -0.121%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 01:25
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:15
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 21:29
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 21:24
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 21:24
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 21:23
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 00:39
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 00:39
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 01:14
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.98%E -2.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:24
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:49
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 00:44
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 00:39
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 00:39
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 00:40
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 00:40
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 00:39
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.30%E -2.56%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:55
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.30%E -2.56%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:54
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.52%E -2.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.75%E -2.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 00:04
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 21:29
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 21:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 23:14
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 23:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:29
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:09
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 00:39
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 00:39
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 00:39
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.84%E -2.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 00:39
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.06%E -2.89%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 21:33
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.61%E -3.22%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.64%E -0.761%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:34
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.61%E -3.22%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:24
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.61%E -3.22%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.75%E -2.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 21:28
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.61%E -3.22%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 21:29
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.61%E -3.22%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 21:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.55%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:14
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.55%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:09
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.55%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:25
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.55%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.55%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.15%E -3.55%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.15%E -3.55%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 23:44
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.69%E -3.89%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 01:44
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.69%E -3.89%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.67%E -3.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 00:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.23%E -4.23%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.64%E -0.761%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:15
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.23%E -4.23%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.64%E -0.761%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:44
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.23%E -4.23%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.78%E -4.57%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 55.04%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.96%-0.7%2026-07-12 01:39
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-11 18:14
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-12 02:00
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-07-12 01:24
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-12 00:09
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-07-12 01:25
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 54.08%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.92%9.4%2026-07-12 01:25