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Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 57.67%1.73fair odd
EV -0.813%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.19%57.66%57.59%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.09%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 42.33%2.36fair odd
EV +0.330%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.241%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.34%42.41%43.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.252.252.3746.73%44.52%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 57.67%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 42.33%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.330%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV +0.330%E +0.139%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.093%E -0.040%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.940%E -0.402%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.940%E -0.402%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Everygame | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.36%E -0.585%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 16:50 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.36%E -0.585%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Bovada | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -1.79%E -0.770%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.21%E -0.957%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.39%E -0.813%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| ReBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:24 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:50 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.43%E -3.31%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.33%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.33%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-12 16:24 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 16:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 16:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.43%E -3.31%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.43%E -3.31%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 17:38 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.17%E -2.31%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.17%E -2.31%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 17:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -0.813%E -0.473%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| betano_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 17:32 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.41%E -4.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 17:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |