مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners

البداية: 2026-07-12 17:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Tampa Bay Rays 2–8 Seattle Mariners

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.67%1.73السعر العادل
EV -0.813%
الأفضلية -0.473%
Kelly -1.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.19%57.66%57.59%58.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.09%59.88%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Seattle Mariners (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.33%2.36السعر العادل
EV +0.330%
الأفضلية +0.139%
Kelly +0.241%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.03%42.34%42.41%43.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.142.252.252.3746.73%44.52%44.44%42.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV +0.330%E +0.139%K +0.241%G +0.001%2.4%2026-07-12 17:40
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.093%E -0.040%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 17:39
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.940%E -0.402%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.940%E -0.402%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.36%E -0.585%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 16:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.36%E -0.585%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:39
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -1.79%E -0.770%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 17:39
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.21%E -0.957%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:15
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.39%E -0.813%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 17:34
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 17:39
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:50
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:09
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.43%E -3.31%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 17:09
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.33%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 17:34
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.33%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:24
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 16:24
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:39
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:09
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:49
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:24
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:09
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.43%E -3.31%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:09
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.43%E -3.31%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 17:38
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.17%E -2.31%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:14
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.17%E -2.31%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:14
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -0.813%E -0.473%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 17:39
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:40
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:34
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:39
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:32
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:39
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.41%E -4.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 17:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 17:39
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-12 17:25
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-12 17:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-12 17:15
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-07-12 17:40