L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 17:41 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 2–8 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 57.67%1.73cote équitable
EV -0.813%
Avantage -0.473%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.19%57.66%57.59%58.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.09%59.88%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.33%2.36cote équitable
EV +0.330%
Avantage +0.139%
Kelly +0.241%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.34%42.41%43.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.252.252.3746.73%44.52%44.44%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV +0.330%E +0.139%K +0.241%G +0.001%2.4%2026-07-12 17:40
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.093%E -0.040%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 17:39
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.940%E -0.402%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.940%E -0.402%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.36%E -0.585%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 16:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.36%E -0.585%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:39
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -1.79%E -0.770%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 17:39
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.21%E -0.957%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 17:15
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.39%E -0.813%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-12 17:34
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 17:39
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:50
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:09
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.43%E -3.31%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 17:09
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.33%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 17:34
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.33%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:24
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.54%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 16:24
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:39
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:09
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:49
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 16:24
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:09
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.43%E -3.31%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:09
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.43%E -3.31%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.75%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 17:38
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.17%E -2.31%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:14
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.17%E -2.31%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 17:14
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -0.813%E -0.473%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -5.60%E -2.51%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 17:39
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 17:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:40
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.02%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:34
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.70%E -2.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 15:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:39
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.87%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:32
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.97%E -1.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.71%E -3.54%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:39
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.12%E -1.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.14%E -3.75%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.27%E -2.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.41%E -4.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 17:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-12 17:39
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%0.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-12 17:25
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-12 17:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-12 17:15
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-07-12 17:40