Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 23:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 7–2 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 53.99%1.85fair odd
EV -0.112%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.98%54.02%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.19%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 46.01%2.17fair odd
EV -0.627%
Edge -0.290%
Kelly -0.540%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.02%45.98%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.052.1651.28%48.53%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 53.99%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 46.01%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.852. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.850, with an expected value of -0.112%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.112%E -0.060%K -0.131%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.19%E -0.651%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.19%E -0.651%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.73%E -0.951%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.01%E -0.942%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.73%E -0.951%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.73%E -0.951%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:00
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:34
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:44
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 07:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:15
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.627%E -0.290%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 23:09
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.627%E -0.290%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 23:09
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.627%E -0.290%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.77%E -2.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 22:48
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.61%E -3.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.61%E -3.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -9.37%E -4.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:09
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:10
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:48
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:09
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.77%E -2.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:09
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:44
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 23:02
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:04
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 23:07
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.13%E -4.15%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 22:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-10 23:09
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-10 23:09
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-10 22:32
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-10 22:45
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-07-10 23:09
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-07-10 23:09
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%2.7%2026-07-10 23:09
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%3.7%2026-07-10 23:09

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