The School of Odds

Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners

2026-07-10 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd
EV +0.884%
Edge +0.451%
Kelly +0.921%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.45%51.32%52.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.861.851.9657%54%54%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 48.53%2.06fair odd
EV +0.454%
Edge +0.220%
Kelly +0.425%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.19%48.55%48.68%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.942.0754%51%52%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +0.884%E +0.451%K +0.921%G +0.008%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.49%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 18:09
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -0.660%E -0.342%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.28%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 17:55
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.612%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.55%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 20:18
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.885%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 18:05
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.16%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:54
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.16%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:55
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.85%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 20:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 19:25
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 20:20
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.85%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 20:20
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 18:45
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.95%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 18:04
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +0.454%E +0.220%K +0.425%G +0.002%2.4%2026-07-09 19:25
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 19:25
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-09 19:24
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.91%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 20:19
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 20:20
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 20:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 20:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 20:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 20:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 20:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.29%E -2.88%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.85%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 20:20
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.29%E -2.88%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.85%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 20:18
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 19:25
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 20:19
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 20:19
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.65%E -7.03%K -15.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-09 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.76%EV -9.74%E -5.23%K -11.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-09 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-09 20:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-09 19:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.76%10.3%2026-07-09 20:20
Arbitrage (3 combinations) +0.67%1xBet 1.96 (51.4%) / GTbets 2.07 (48.6%)Show all 3 combinations
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)Seattle Mariners (Visit)Margin
1xBet 1.96 (51.4%)GTbets 2.07 (48.6%)+0.675%
1xBet 1.96 (51.2%)LowVig.ag 2.06 (48.8%)+0.438%
1xBet 1.96 (51.2%)BetOnline.ag 2.06 (48.8%)+0.438%