L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 23:11 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 7–2 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 53.99%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.112%
Avantage -0.060%
Kelly -0.131%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.98%54.02%55.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.19%56.18%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.01%2.17cote équitable
EV -0.627%
Avantage -0.290%
Kelly -0.540%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%46.02%45.98%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.062.052.1651.28%48.53%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.112%E -0.060%K -0.131%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 22:39
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.19%E -0.651%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.19%E -0.651%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.73%E -0.951%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.01%E -0.942%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.73%E -0.951%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.73%E -0.951%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:00
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:55
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:59
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:34
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:25
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:44
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 07:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:15
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.627%E -0.290%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 23:09
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.627%E -0.290%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 23:09
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.627%E -0.290%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 23:09
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:09
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.77%E -2.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 22:48
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:59
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:59
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.61%E -3.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.61%E -3.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -9.37%E -4.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:09
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:10
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:48
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:09
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:59
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:00
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:04
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.77%E -2.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:44
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:09
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:44
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:44
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 23:02
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 23:09
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:04
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 23:07
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.13%E -4.15%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 22:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-10 23:09
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-10 23:09
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-10 22:32
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-10 22:45
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-07-10 23:09
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-07-10 23:09
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%2.7%2026-07-10 23:09
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%3.7%2026-07-10 23:09