La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-07-10 23:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 7–2 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 53.99%1.85momio equitativo
EV -0.112%
Ventaja -0.060%
Kelly -0.131%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.98%54.02%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.19%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 46.01%2.17momio equitativo
EV -0.627%
Ventaja -0.290%
Kelly -0.540%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.02%45.98%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.052.1651.28%48.53%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.112%E -0.060%K -0.131%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 22:39
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.19%E -0.651%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.19%E -0.651%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 22:39
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.73%E -0.951%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.01%E -0.942%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.73%E -0.951%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.73%E -0.951%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:00
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:55
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:55
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:59
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:34
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:25
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 22:44
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 07:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.81%E -1.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 22:15
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.627%E -0.290%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 23:09
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.627%E -0.290%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 23:09
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.627%E -0.290%K -0.540%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-10 23:09
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:09
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.35%E -1.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.77%E -2.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 22:48
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:59
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 22:59
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.61%E -3.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.61%E -3.25%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 22:49
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -3.89%E -2.19%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -9.37%E -4.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:09
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:10
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:48
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:09
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:59
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:00
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.43%E -2.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:04
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.77%E -2.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:44
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.97%E -2.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:09
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:44
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:44
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.51%E -3.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 23:02
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.55%E -0.723%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 23:09
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.47%E -1.16%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 23:09
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 23:04
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 22:59
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.05%E -3.48%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.59%E -3.81%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -3.99%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 23:07
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.13%E -4.15%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.69%E -2.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.21%E -4.83%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.39%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 22:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-07-10 23:09
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-10 23:09
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-10 22:32
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-10 22:45
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-07-10 23:09
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-07-10 23:09
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%2.7%2026-07-10 23:09
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%3.7%2026-07-10 23:09