The School of Odds

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-07-06 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 1–5 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 47.19%2.12fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.674%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%47.41%47.01%50.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.1553.19%49.89%50.00%46.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 52.81%1.89fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.731%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%52.59%52.99%55.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.821.801.9258.48%55.09%55.56%52.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +1.40%E +0.731%K +1.53%G +0.021%4.7%2026-07-06 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV +0.348%E +0.183%K +0.386%G +0.001%5.8%2026-07-06 22:40
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -0.180%E -0.095%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -0.709%E -0.377%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 22:15
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-06 22:25
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:15
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:15
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.76%E -0.949%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:15
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.76%E -0.949%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:15
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.85%E -0.892%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:40
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:40
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:15
BetAnything2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.38%E -0.661%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.82%E -1.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-06 21:55
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV +0.033%E +0.016%K +0.030%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-06 22:39
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.439%E -0.208%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-06 22:35
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.911%E -0.434%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.911%E -0.434%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:35
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.911%E -0.434%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:09
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 22:15
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 22:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 22:40
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:44
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 22:14
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 22:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.41%E -2.43%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:19
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 21:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 21:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:14
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:39
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 21:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 20:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 21:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 22:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 21:25
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.57%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.52%E -3.83%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 22:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 22:14
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 22:34
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 21:53
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 21:05
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 21:10
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 22:39
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:20
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 22:25
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.85%E -0.892%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 22:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -8.10%E -4.66%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 22:13
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 22:40
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +1.45%E +0.674%K +1.26%G +0.018%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.69%E -5.66%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Polymarket2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-06 22:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-06 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-07-06 22:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-06 22:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-06 22:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-06 20:30
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-07-06 22:40