La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-07-06 22:41 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 1–5 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 47.19%2.12momio equitativo
EV +1.45%
Ventaja +0.674%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%47.41%47.01%50.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.002.002.1553.19%49.89%50.00%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 52.81%1.89momio equitativo
EV +1.40%
Ventaja +0.731%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.74%52.59%52.99%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.821.801.9258.48%55.09%55.56%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +1.40%E +0.731%K +1.53%G +0.021%4.7%2026-07-06 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV +0.348%E +0.183%K +0.386%G +0.001%5.8%2026-07-06 22:40
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -0.180%E -0.095%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -0.709%E -0.377%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 22:15
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-06 22:25
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:15
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:15
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.76%E -0.949%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:15
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.76%E -0.949%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:15
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.85%E -0.892%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:40
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:40
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:15
BetAnything2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.38%E -0.661%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.82%E -1.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-06 21:55
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV +0.033%E +0.016%K +0.030%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-06 22:39
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.439%E -0.208%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-06 22:35
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.911%E -0.434%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.911%E -0.434%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:35
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.911%E -0.434%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:09
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 22:15
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 22:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 22:40
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:44
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 22:14
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 22:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.41%E -2.43%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:19
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 21:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 21:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:14
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:39
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 21:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 20:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 21:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 22:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 21:25
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.57%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.52%E -3.83%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 22:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 22:14
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 22:34
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 21:53
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 21:05
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 21:10
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 22:39
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:20
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 22:25
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.85%E -0.892%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 22:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -8.10%E -4.66%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 22:13
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 22:40
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +1.45%E +0.674%K +1.26%G +0.018%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.69%E -5.66%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Polymarket2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-06 22:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-06 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-07-06 22:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-06 22:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-06 22:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-06 20:30
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-07-06 22:40