L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v New York Yankees

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-06 22:41 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 1–5 New York Yankees

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 47.19%2.12cote équitable
EV +1.45%
Avantage +0.674%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%47.41%47.01%50.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.002.002.1553.19%49.89%50.00%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.81%1.89cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.731%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.74%52.59%52.99%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.821.801.9258.48%55.09%55.56%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV +1.40%E +0.731%K +1.53%G +0.021%4.7%2026-07-06 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV +0.348%E +0.183%K +0.386%G +0.001%5.8%2026-07-06 22:40
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -0.180%E -0.095%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -0.709%E -0.377%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 22:15
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-06 22:25
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:15
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:15
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.24%E -0.661%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.76%E -0.949%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:15
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.76%E -0.949%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:15
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.85%E -0.892%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:40
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:40
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.93%E -4.63%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 22:15
BetAnything2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.38%E -0.661%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.82%E -1.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-06 21:55
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV +0.033%E +0.016%K +0.030%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-06 22:39
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.439%E -0.208%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-06 22:35
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.911%E -0.434%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.911%E -0.434%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:35
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.911%E -0.434%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 22:09
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 22:15
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 22:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 22:40
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:44
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 22:14
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -3.88%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 22:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.41%E -2.43%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:19
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 21:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 21:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:14
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 22:39
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 21:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 20:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 21:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 22:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 21:25
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.57%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.52%E -3.83%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 22:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 22:14
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 22:34
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 21:53
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 21:05
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 21:10
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 22:39
DraftKings2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.33%E -1.12%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 21:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:20
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.99%E -3.37%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 22:25
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.85%E -0.892%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 22:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:20
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.27%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -8.10%E -4.66%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 22:13
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 22:40
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +1.45%E +0.674%K +1.26%G +0.018%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.69%E -5.66%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-07-06 22:40
Polymarket2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-06 22:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-07-06 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-07-06 22:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-06 22:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-06 22:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-06 20:30
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-07-06 22:40