Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Houston Astros

2026-09-12 22:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 57.04%1.75fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.50%56.98%57.07%57.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.691.681.7260.98%59.26%59.52%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 42.96%2.33fair odd
EV -0.338%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.256%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.29%43.02%42.93%44.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.212.202.3248.31%45.29%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 57.04%; Houston Astros (Visit): 42.96%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.32, with an expected value of -0.338%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -1.89%E -1.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:30
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.20%E -0.521%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 19:30
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.20%E -0.521%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.63%E -0.710%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 19:30
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-12 19:30
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-12 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.46%E -1.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.07%E -3.77%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:29
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.338%E -0.146%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-12 19:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:18
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.93%E -4.21%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.03%E -1.78%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.93%E -4.21%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 19:30
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 19:32
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.63%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:40
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:35
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 19:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.77%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:35
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:45
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:34
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.20%E -1.89%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.63%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.20%E -1.89%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 19:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.63%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.92%E -2.70%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -11.08%E -5.35%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.45%E -3.93%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 57.49%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.51%-1.2%2026-09-12 19:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-12 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-12 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-12 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-12 19:40
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-12 19:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-12 19:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-09-12 19:35