A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-09-12 22:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 3–2 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 57.34%1.74odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.799%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.41%57.44%57.27%59.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.651.651.7264.52%60.66%60.61%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 42.66%2.34odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -0.819%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.79%42.56%42.73%43.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.232.232.3046.73%44.85%44.84%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 57.34%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 42.66%. Para Tampa Bay Rays (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.74. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.72, com valor esperado de -1.37%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.37%E -0.799%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-12 20:40
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 19:30
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 19:30
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-12 19:30
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-12 20:07
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 20:29
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:35
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 20:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:35
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:35
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 20:35
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 22:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 22:10
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 22:09
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.53%E -4.01%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 21:42
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 22:10
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 22:10
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 22:10
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 22:10
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 22:11
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 22:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 22:10
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.40%E -5.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 22:11
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.98%E -6.35%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -10.55%E -6.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.12%E -7.18%K -20.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-09-12 22:05
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-09-12 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-12 22:10
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-12 22:10
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-12 22:10
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-12 20:40
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-09-12 22:10
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-09-12 22:10