默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Rays v Houston Astros

开赛时间： 2026-09-12 22:11 UTC

最终结果： Tampa Bay Rays 3–2 Houston Astros

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

57%

43%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Rays (主队)

预测 57.34%1.74公平赔率

EV -1.37%

优势 -0.799%

Kelly -1.91%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布

56.41%57.44%57.27%59.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.551.651.651.7264.52%60.66%60.61%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Houston Astros (客队)

预测 42.66%2.34公平赔率

EV -1.88%

优势 -0.819%

Kelly -1.45%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

40.79%42.56%42.73%43.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.142.232.232.3046.73%44.85%44.84%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tampa Bay Rays (主队)：57.34%；Houston Astros (客队)：42.66%。对于“Tampa Bay Rays (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.74。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.72，期望值为-1.37%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.37%E -0.799%K -1.91%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-12 20:40
GTbets🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-12 19:30
Everygame🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.31%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-12 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-12 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-12 19:30
BetUS🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-09-12 19:30
BetAnything🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-12 20:07
TAB🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.52%E -1.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 20:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 20:29
betfred_uk🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-12 19:35
Fliff🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.09%E -1.83%K -4.48%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-12 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-12 20:15
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 19:35
PlayUp🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 19:35
Neds🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 19:35
NordicBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 20:35
Betsson🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.39%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-12 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 19:35
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 19:35
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 19:35
Caesars🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 22:10
Betway🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 22:10
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-12 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.30%E -2.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.81%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-12 22:00
FanDuel🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 22:10
Unibet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-12 22:10
Coolbet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 22:10
TABtouch🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.74%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-12 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 22:09
betPARX🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-12 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-12 22:10
DraftKings🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-12 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.53%E -4.01%K -10.37%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.71%E -4.07%K -7.64%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-12 21:42
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 20:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 22:10
Casumo🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 22:10
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-12 19:45
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-12 22:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-12 22:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-12 22:10
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-12 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-12 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.68%E -4.77%K -12.59%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-12 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.88%E -0.819%K -1.45%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 22:10
SportsBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-12 22:10
betano_uk🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-12 22:10
Grosvenor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-12 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-12 22:11
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-12 22:10
Bet Victor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-12 22:10
ReBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.26%E -5.16%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-12 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.40%E -5.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-09-12 22:11
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.98%E -6.35%K -17.50%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.15%E -2.80%K -5.12%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-12 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -10.55%E -6.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -7.00%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-09-12 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.12%E -7.18%K -20.22%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-09-12 22:10

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%	0.2%	2026-09-12 22:05
Matchbook◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%	0.5%	2026-09-12 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	0.6%	2026-09-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	0.6%	2026-09-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	0.6%	2026-09-12 22:10
Novig◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%	0.9%	2026-09-12 22:10
Polymarket◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.1%	2026-09-12 22:10
Kalshi◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.1%	2026-09-12 20:40
Smarkets◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.7%	2026-09-12 22:10
ProphetX◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%	2.3%	2026-09-12 22:10

Tampa Bay Rays v Houston Astros

胜负盘

Tampa Bay Rays (主队)

Houston Astros (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)