Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 16:16 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prediction 52.82%1.89fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.83%52.82%52.96%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.69%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 47.18%2.12fair odd
EV -0.930%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.846%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%47.18%47.04%49.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.012.002.1054.35%49.77%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 52.82%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 47.18%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.930%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.22%E -0.652%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 16:15
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 16:15
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 16:15
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.40%E -0.671%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.40%E -0.671%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 16:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 16:14
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.59%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:14
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -2.80%E -1.52%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -8.48%E -4.37%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.930%E -0.443%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 13:35
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.86%E -2.12%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 16:09
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:20
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 14:40
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 14:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 15:01
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:04
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.45%E -3.04%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 13:20
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:10
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -13.20%E -7.17%K -15.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 16:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.87%E -0.901%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 16:15
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -8.95%E -4.64%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -0.930%E -0.443%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 16:15
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.83%2.18I 45.87%NM 46.17%-0.7%2026-07-26 16:14
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-26 15:45
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-07-26 16:15
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.7%2026-07-26 16:15
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%10.0%2026-07-26 16:15

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