Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-07-26 16:16 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 52.82%1.89odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.652%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.83%52.82%52.96%55.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.69%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 47.18%2.12odd justa
EV -0.930%
Vantagem -0.443%
Kelly -0.846%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.74%47.18%47.04%49.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.842.012.002.1054.35%49.77%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 52.82%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 47.18%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.12. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.10, com valor esperado de -0.930%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.22%E -0.652%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 16:15
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 16:15
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 16:15
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.40%E -0.671%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.40%E -0.671%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 16:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 16:14
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.59%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:14
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -2.80%E -1.52%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -8.48%E -4.37%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.930%E -0.443%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 13:35
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.86%E -2.12%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 16:09
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:20
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 14:40
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 14:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 15:01
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:04
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.45%E -3.04%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 13:20
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:10
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -13.20%E -7.17%K -15.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 16:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.87%E -0.901%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 16:15
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -8.95%E -4.64%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -0.930%E -0.443%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 16:15
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.83%2.18I 45.87%NM 46.17%-0.7%2026-07-26 16:14
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-26 15:45
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-07-26 16:15
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.7%2026-07-26 16:15
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%10.0%2026-07-26 16:15