La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-26 16:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 55.18%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%55.25%55.20%56.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.731.731.7759.52%57.79%57.80%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 44.82%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.634%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.73%44.75%44.80%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.132.122.2048.78%46.98%47.17%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.39%E -0.634%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-25 20:10
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.84%E -0.841%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-26 00:34
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 18:25
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 18:25
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.29%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:29
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.39%E -0.634%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-25 22:35
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.19%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 18:25
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.44%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 01:00
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 18:25
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 18:25
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 21:05
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 23:39
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 23:39
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 23:39
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:44
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:15
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:25
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:25
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:39
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:40
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:39
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:39
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:44
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:25
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:24
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:35
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:25
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:44
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:35
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 21:45
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 21:45
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 23:39
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 23:39
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 23:44
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.98%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:35
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 20:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.39%E -0.634%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 23:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:24
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 02:04
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 21:25
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 18:30
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.20%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.77%E -3.26%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.12%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 20:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-07-25 23:55
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-26 01:15
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-07-26 02:05
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.3%2026-07-26 01:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-26 00:50
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-07-25 22:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%8.4%2026-07-26 01:50