Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-07-26 16:16 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 52.82%1.89momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.652%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.83%52.82%52.96%55.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.69%55.56%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 47.18%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.930%
Ventaja -0.443%
Kelly -0.846%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%47.18%47.04%49.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.842.012.002.1054.35%49.77%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 52.82%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 47.18%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.12. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.10, con un valor esperado de -0.930%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.22%E -0.652%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 16:15
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 16:15
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -1.75%E -0.939%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 16:15
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.40%E -0.671%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.40%E -0.671%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 16:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 16:14
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.59%E -3.33%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:14
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.28%E -1.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -2.80%E -1.52%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -8.48%E -4.37%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.930%E -0.443%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 13:35
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.82%E -1.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.33%E -1.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.86%E -2.12%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 16:09
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:20
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 14:40
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.70%E -2.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 14:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 15:01
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:04
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.45%E -3.04%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 13:20
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.35%E -1.13%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:10
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.23%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -5.97%E -3.36%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -13.20%E -7.17%K -15.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 16:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.87%E -0.901%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.54%E -3.84%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.01%E -4.11%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.06%E -3.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.29%E -1.60%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 16:15
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -8.09%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -8.95%E -4.64%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -0.930%E -0.443%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 16:15
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.65%E -2.82%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.83%2.18I 45.87%NM 46.17%-0.7%2026-07-26 16:14
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-26 16:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-26 15:45
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-26 16:15
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-07-26 16:15
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.7%2026-07-26 16:15
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%10.0%2026-07-26 16:15