Language:English
Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 59.35%1.68fair odd
EV -0.292%
Edge -0.174%
Kelly -0.429%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.54%59.49%59.34%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.591.601.6867.57%62.74%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 40.65%2.46fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +2.36%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%40.51%40.66%42.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.392.382.5544.84%41.81%42.02%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 59.35%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 40.65%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.19%E -6.01%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.811%E +0.327%K +0.548%G +0.004% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV +0.811%E +0.327%K +0.548%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV +0.811%E +0.327%K +0.548%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.408%E -0.167%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.22%E -0.502%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-14 14:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.22%E -0.502%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -12.16%E -8.22%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -1.22%E -0.502%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.63%E -0.673%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 09:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -0.292%E -0.174%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 21:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 21:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 20:42 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.48%E -0.891%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 21:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 22:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 22:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 22:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 21:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |