Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-08-14 23:11 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 5–6 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 59.35%1.68odd justa
EV -0.292%
Vantagem -0.174%
Kelly -0.429%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.54%59.49%59.34%62.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.591.601.6867.57%62.74%62.50%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 40.65%2.46odd justa
EV +3.66%
Vantagem +1.43%
Kelly +2.36%
Crescimento +0.086%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.65%40.51%40.66%42.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.392.382.5544.84%41.81%42.02%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 59.35%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 40.65%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.46. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.66%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086%3.7%2026-08-14 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086%3.7%2026-08-14 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086%4.2%2026-08-14 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086%4.2%2026-08-14 22:59
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%1.7%2026-08-14 22:14
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 22:59
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 23:00
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.19%E -6.01%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%5.4%2026-08-14 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.811%E +0.327%K +0.548%G +0.004%2.8%2026-08-14 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV +0.811%E +0.327%K +0.548%G +0.004%6.1%2026-08-14 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV +0.811%E +0.327%K +0.548%G +0.004%6.1%2026-08-14 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:29
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.408%E -0.167%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-14 18:44
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.22%E -0.502%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 14:09
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.22%E -0.502%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -12.16%E -8.22%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -1.22%E -0.502%K -0.854%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.63%E -0.673%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 15:55
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 22:34
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 09:30
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -0.292%E -0.174%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-14 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 13:54
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 22:34
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 21:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:04
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 22:29
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:54
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:14
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 21:44
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:34
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:34
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 21:44
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 20:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 23:09
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 20:42
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.48%E -0.891%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:09
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 22:58
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 22:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 22:43
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-14 21:54
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-14 22:00
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-08-14 23:10
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-14 23:10
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-08-14 22:55
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-08-14 22:54