النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-08-14 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Tampa Bay Rays 5–6 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Tampa Bay Rays (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.35%1.68السعر العادل
EV -0.292%
الأفضلية -0.174%
Kelly -0.429%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.54%59.49%59.34%62.35%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.591.601.6867.57%62.74%62.50%59.52%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.65%2.46السعر العادل
EV +3.66%
الأفضلية +1.43%
Kelly +2.36%
النمو +0.086%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.65%40.51%40.66%42.46%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.232.392.382.5544.84%41.81%42.02%39.22%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Tampa Bay Rays (المضيف)⁩: ⁨59.35%⁩؛ ⁨Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)⁩: ⁨40.65%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.46⁩. عرضت 15 شركة مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.55⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+3.66%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086%3.7%2026-08-14 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086%3.7%2026-08-14 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086%4.2%2026-08-14 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.66%E +1.43%K +2.36%G +0.086%4.2%2026-08-14 22:59
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%1.7%2026-08-14 22:14
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 22:59
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 23:00
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%4.9%2026-08-14 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.19%E -6.01%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.62%E +0.650%K +1.08%G +0.018%5.4%2026-08-14 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.811%E +0.327%K +0.548%G +0.004%2.8%2026-08-14 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV +0.811%E +0.327%K +0.548%G +0.004%6.1%2026-08-14 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV +0.811%E +0.327%K +0.548%G +0.004%6.1%2026-08-14 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-14 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:29
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.408%E -0.167%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-14 18:44
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.22%E -0.502%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-14 14:09
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.22%E -0.502%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -12.16%E -8.22%K -25.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -1.22%E -0.502%K -0.854%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.63%E -0.673%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 15:55
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 22:34
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 09:30
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -0.292%E -0.174%K -0.429%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-14 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 13:54
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 22:34
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 21:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:04
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 22:29
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:54
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:14
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 21:44
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:34
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 22:34
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 21:44
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 20:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 23:09
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 20:42
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.48%E -0.891%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 21:09
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 22:58
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 22:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 22:43
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-08-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-14 23:10
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-14 21:54
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-14 22:00
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-08-14 23:10
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-14 23:10
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-08-14 22:55
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-08-14 22:54