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Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 58.54%1.71fair odd
EV +0.096%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.135%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%58.34%58.54%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.631.7164.94%61.40%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 41.46%2.41fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.648%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.66%41.46%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.332.4546.51%43.12%42.92%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 58.54%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 41.46%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.648%K +1.09%G +0.017% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.648%K +1.09%G +0.017% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.648%K +1.09%G +0.017% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%EV +1.17%E +0.481%K +0.814%G +0.010% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 22:08 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.17%E +0.481%K +0.814%G +0.010% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.343%E +0.142%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.32%E -0.553%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.32%E -0.553%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.32%E -0.553%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.73%E -0.730%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.73%E -0.730%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.73%E -0.730%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.66%E -0.988%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.14%E -0.909%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 21:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -7.51%E -4.76%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -7.51%E -4.76%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV +0.096%E +0.056%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -4.22%E -1.83%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV +0.096%E +0.056%K +0.135%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 02:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.85%E -6.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 20:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.95%E -3.58%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 02:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 22:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.07%E -0.636%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.66%E -0.988%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.66%E -0.988%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 21:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 15:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 21:44 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |