默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 22:11 UTC

最终结果: Tampa Bay Rays 3–4 Baltimore Orioles

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Rays (主队)

预测 58.54%1.71公平赔率
EV +0.096%
优势 +0.056%
Kelly +0.135%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
55.99%58.34%58.54%60.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.631.631.7164.94%61.40%61.35%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Baltimore Orioles (客队)

预测 41.46%2.41公平赔率
EV +1.59%
优势 +0.648%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
39.75%41.66%41.46%44.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.322.332.4546.51%43.12%42.92%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Tampa Bay Rays (主队):58.54%;Baltimore Orioles (客队):41.46%。 对于“Baltimore Orioles (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.41。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.45,对应+1.59%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.648%K +1.09%G +0.017%2.5%2026-08-15 22:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.648%K +1.09%G +0.017%2.5%2026-08-15 22:09
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.648%K +1.09%G +0.017%2.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%EV +1.17%E +0.481%K +0.814%G +0.010%1.6%2026-08-15 22:08
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.17%E +0.481%K +0.814%G +0.010%3.1%2026-08-15 22:09
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.343%E +0.142%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.9%2026-08-15 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-15 22:09
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 20:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.32%E -0.553%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.32%E -0.553%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.32%E -0.553%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:54
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.73%E -0.730%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.73%E -0.730%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:59
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.73%E -0.730%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:59
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.66%E -0.988%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.14%E -0.909%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:58
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:09
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:59
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -7.51%E -4.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -7.51%E -4.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:54
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV +0.096%E +0.056%K +0.135%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -4.22%E -1.83%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:04
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:59
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 22:05
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV +0.096%E +0.056%K +0.135%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 02:19
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.85%E -6.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 20:54
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:59
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.95%E -3.58%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 22:08
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.07%E -0.636%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.66%E -0.988%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 22:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.66%E -0.988%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 21:59
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 21:58
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-08-15 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-15 22:09
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-15 22:09
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-15 16:45
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-15 15:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-15 22:09
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-08-15 21:44
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-08-15 22:09