Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 22:11 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 3–4 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 58.54%1.71cote équitable
EV +0.096%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.135%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%58.34%58.54%60.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.631.631.7164.94%61.40%61.35%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.46%2.41cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.648%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.66%41.46%44.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.322.332.4546.51%43.12%42.92%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tampa Bay Rays (Local) : 58.54% ; Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur) : 41.46%. Pour Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.41. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.45, soit une espérance positive de +1.59%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.648%K +1.09%G +0.017%2.5%2026-08-15 22:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.648%K +1.09%G +0.017%2.5%2026-08-15 22:09
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.59%E +0.648%K +1.09%G +0.017%2.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%EV +1.17%E +0.481%K +0.814%G +0.010%1.6%2026-08-15 22:08
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +1.17%E +0.481%K +0.814%G +0.010%3.1%2026-08-15 22:09
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +0.343%E +0.142%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.9%2026-08-15 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-15 22:09
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 20:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.486%E -0.202%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.32%E -0.553%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.32%E -0.553%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.32%E -0.553%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:54
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.73%E -0.730%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.73%E -0.730%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:59
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.73%E -0.730%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:59
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.66%E -0.988%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -2.14%E -0.909%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-15 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:58
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:09
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:59
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:54
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -7.51%E -4.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -7.51%E -4.76%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:54
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV +0.096%E +0.056%K +0.135%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -4.22%E -1.83%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:04
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:59
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.34%E -3.96%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 22:05
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV +0.096%E +0.056%K +0.135%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-15 02:19
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.85%E -6.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.46%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 20:54
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:59
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.59%E -2.81%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.88%E -2.59%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.95%E -3.58%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.00%E -2.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 22:08
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.07%E -0.636%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.66%E -0.988%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 22:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.66%E -0.988%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 21:59
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 21:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-08-15 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-15 22:09
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-15 22:09
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-15 22:09
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-15 16:45
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-15 15:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-15 22:09
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-08-15 21:44
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-08-15 22:09