Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals

2026-09-19 00:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 51.06%1.96fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.03%51.05%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.871.9157.14%53.52%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.806%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%48.97%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.952.0154.64%51.48%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 51.06%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 48.94%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.01, with an expected value of -1.62%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.62%E -0.806%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-17 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.11%E -1.06%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.11%E -1.06%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 18:25
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.11%E -1.06%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 19:20
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.11%E -1.06%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 21:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.11%E -1.06%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-18 00:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.51%E -1.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.07%E -2.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.51%E -1.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 23:40
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.07%E -2.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 21:04
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.05%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:15
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.05%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:25
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 01:50
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:34
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 01:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.05%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.05%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.06%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 18:33
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -10.14%E -5.76%K -13.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -9.94%E -5.40%K -11.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-17 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.12%EV -10.65%E -6.09%K -14.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.43%E -5.70%K -12.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-09-18 00:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-18 01:50
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-17 19:40
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.39%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.61%1.3%2026-09-18 01:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%5.0%2026-09-18 01:40
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%9.9%2026-09-17 18:35