Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 00:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 1–9 Washington Nationals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.577%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.06%50.00%51.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.901.901.9856.18%52.77%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd
EV +0.144%
Edge +0.072%
Kelly +0.144%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.24%49.94%50.00%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.921.912.0055.87%52.04%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 49.93%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 50.07%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.997. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.144%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -4.14%E -2.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV +0.144%E +0.072%K +0.144%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 02:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 14:59
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:00
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:00
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.36%E -0.689%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -8.63%E -4.72%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -1.86%E -0.948%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:59
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.36%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -9.13%E -5.02%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.36%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -9.13%E -5.02%K -11.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.36%E -1.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.14%E -0.577%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.86%E -1.47%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -7.13%E -3.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -2.86%E -1.47%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.64%E -0.834%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-18 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.64%E -0.834%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-18 14:45
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.64%E -0.834%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-18 14:44
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.64%E -0.834%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-18 14:45
Everygame🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.64%E -0.834%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-18 15:03
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.64%E -0.834%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-18 14:43
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.14%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 13:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.63%E -4.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.36%E -1.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:25
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.86%E -2.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 14:48
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.86%E -2.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.64%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.86%E -2.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.14%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.86%E -2.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.14%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.86%E -2.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:33
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:34
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:35
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:10
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:48
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:40
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.64%E -2.98%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -11.13%E -6.25%K -14.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -4.36%E -2.28%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 14:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.14%E -2.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 18:30
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.56%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.86%E -3.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.14%E -2.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.86%E -3.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.37%E -3.40%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:35
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.37%E -3.40%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.64%E -2.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.37%E -3.40%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.14%E -3.26%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.87%E -3.69%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -9.63%E -5.32%K -11.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -10.37%E -5.79%K -13.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 14:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%0.0%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-18 14:30
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-09-18 14:45
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-18 13:35
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-18 15:22
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%2.9%2026-09-18 14:45