Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals

2026-09-19 00:16 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 51.07%1.96cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.05%51.05%51.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.861.871.9157.14%53.68%53.48%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.93%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.817%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.41%48.95%48.95%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.952.0154.64%51.39%51.28%49.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : St. Louis Cardinals (Local) : 51.07% ; Washington Nationals (Visiteur) : 48.93%. Pour Washington Nationals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.04. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.01, pour une espérance de -1.64% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.64%E -0.817%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-17 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 18:25
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 19:20
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 21:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-18 00:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 23:40
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 21:04
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 02:15
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:25
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 01:50
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:34
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 01:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 01:35
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 02:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:35
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.04%E -3.28%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 18:33
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 00:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.51%E -3.98%K -8.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 02:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -10.12%E -5.75%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -9.96%E -5.41%K -11.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-17 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.12%EV -10.63%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.45%E -5.71%K -12.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-09-18 00:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-18 01:50
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-17 19:40
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.39%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.61%1.3%2026-09-18 01:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%5.3%2026-09-18 02:30
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%9.9%2026-09-17 18:35