Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Washington Nationals

2026-09-19 00:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 51.07%1.96momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.05%51.05%51.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.861.871.9157.14%53.68%53.48%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 48.93%2.04momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.817%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.41%48.95%48.95%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.951.952.0154.64%51.39%51.28%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 51.07%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 48.93%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.04. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.01, con un valor esperado de -1.64%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.64%E -0.817%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-17 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 18:25
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 19:20
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-17 21:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.13%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-18 00:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.02%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.49%E -1.84%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 23:40
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 21:04
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.00%E -2.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 02:15
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:25
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 01:50
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:34
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 01:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.51%E -2.41%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 01:35
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 02:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.02%E -2.70%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:35
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.04%E -3.28%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 18:33
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 00:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 02:15
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -7.51%E -3.98%K -8.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 02:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -10.12%E -5.75%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -9.96%E -5.41%K -11.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-17 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.12%EV -10.63%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.45%E -5.71%K -12.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-09-18 00:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-18 01:50
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-17 19:40
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.39%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.61%1.3%2026-09-18 01:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%5.3%2026-09-18 02:30
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%9.9%2026-09-17 18:35